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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the Vic Region on 30/01/2019
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the Vic region for the following periods:
From 1600 hrs to 1700 hrs 30/01/2019.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1120 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1043 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 30/01/2019
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following periods:
From 1500 hrs to 1700 hrs 30/01/2019.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1300 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1098 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV line and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV
Cancellation time: 29/01/2019 12:39
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 66901
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Cancellation time: 29/01/2019 12:24
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 66899
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV line and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV
Duration: 29/01/2019 10:35 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Inter-Regional Transfer Limit Variation - NSW Region - 29/01/2019
A short notice outage of the Port Macquarie - Taree No. 964 132 kV Line (NSW region) occurred at 1019 hrs.
Refer to the Network Outage scheduler (NOS) for further details.
The following outage constraint set was invoked from 1025 hrs
N-TAPM_964
The outage constraint contains the following interconnectors on the LHS:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Duration: 29/01/2019 10:23 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
RESERVE NOTICE MT PASA PUBLICATION 29 January 2019
Please note that MTPASA informs the market of potential reliability issues to allow the market to respond in the first instance, potentially avoiding the need for any market intervention or direction from AEMO.
For further information, please refer to:
https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National-Electricity-Market-NEM/Data/Market-Management-System-MMS/Projected-Assessment-of-System-Adequacy
This notice supersedes Market Notice 66490 published on 22 January 2019.
Background
As part of a broader process of implementing the reliability standard, AEMO runs the Medium Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (MTPASA) process weekly to forecast expected unserved energy levels over a two year period. If the expected annual unserved energy exceeds the maximum level specified by the Reliability Standard, a Low Reserve Condition is identified.
For more information about how AEMO implements the reliability standard, please view the Reliability Standard Implementation Guidelines (RSIG) available on AEMO's website at
http://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/Files/Stakeholder_Consultation/Consultations/Electricity_Consultations/2016/EAAP/Reliability-Standard-Implementation-Guidelines.pdf
Forecasting
AEMO
Cancellation of the reclassification of a non-credible contingency event: Murray - Upper Tumut 65 330kV Line and Lower Tumut - Murray 66 330 kV Line in NSW due to Bushfire
Cancellation of the reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to Bushfire.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. The bushfire is no longer threatening the lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW
Lines: Murray - Upper Tumut 65 330kV Line and Lower Tumut - Murray 66 330 kV Line
Cancellation time: 29/01/2019 0905 hrs
Constraint set(s) revoked: I-NIL_65+66_N-2
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 66618
Manager NEM Real Time Operations