NEM Regional Volatility and Price

The tables below specify the forecast Volatility Factors and Average Prices calculated for input to the prudential settings calculations over the previous four seasonal reviews (when available).

Outstandings Limit Volatility Factor (VFOSLR)

Region

2020 Summer   2020 Winter  2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer

NSW

 1.48  1.32  1.34 1.59

QLD

 1.62  1.28  1.34 1.56

SA

 1.84  1.47  1.38 1.8

TAS

 1.46  1.5  1.36 1.58

VIC

 1.67  1.37  1.31 1.74

Prudential Margin Volatility Factor (VFPMR)

Region

2020 Summer   2020 Winter  2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer

NSW

 2.75  1.88  2.04 3.23

QLD

 3.1  1.79  1.91 2.9

SA

 4.92  2.24  1.88 4.78

TAS

 1.7  1.87  1.76 1.77

VIC

 4.01  1.88  1.81 4.76

Average Price (PR)

Region

2020 Summer   2020 Winter  2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer

NSW

 $59.57  $62.03  $64.25 $63.07

QLD

 $71.79  $56.67  $55.83 $68.81

SA

 $79.52  $73.54  $60.62 $78.55

TAS

 $71.38  $62.56  $58.83 $66.84

VIC

 $59.94  $62.65  $56.36 $62.72

Review Seasons

Review Season

MCL Effective Date

Calculation includes data up to this date

2020 Shoulder 01-Sep-20  18-Jul-20
2021 Summer  01-Dec-20  17-Oct-20
2021 Winter  01-Apr-21  13-Feb-21
2021 Shoulder  01-Sep-21  17-Jul-21
2022 Summer 01-Dec-21 16-Oct-21

For details information about regional volatility factors and prices, please refer to Credit Limit Procedures Supporting Information page.

For further information, please contact AEMO's Information and Support Hub.

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