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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 13/01/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 13/01/2025 to 1800 hrs 13/01/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 917 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 769 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV line and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV
Duration: 13/01/2025 15:07 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-5A6+5A7_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
VIC1-NSW1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV line and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV
Duration: 13/01/2025 14:59 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Duration: 13/01/2025 14:45 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
NON-CONFORMANCE Region QLD1 Monday, 13 January 2025
NON-CONFORMANCE QLD1 Region Monday, 13 January 2025
AEMO has declared the following unit as non-conforming under clause 3.8.23 of the National Electricity Rules:
Unit: MPP_1
Duration: 13/01/2025 11:35 to 13/01/2025 13:50
Amount: 57 MW
Constraint: NC-Q_MPP_1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV line and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV
Cancellation time: 13/01/2025 04:19
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 123141
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Kamerunga to Barron Gorge No.7184 132 kV and the Kamerunga to Barron Gorge No.7143 132 kV lines in QLD due to lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible.
There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD
Lines: Kamerunga to Barron Gorge No.7184 132 kV and the Kamerunga to Barron Gorge No.7143 132 kV lines
Cancellation time: 13/01/2025 04:15
Constraint set(s) invoked: Nil
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 123114
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Cancellation time: 13/01/2025 04:09
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 123109
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Cancellation time: 13/01/2025 04:09
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 123110
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations