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Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the VIC region on 16/02/2025
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 16/02/2025.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
o MSL1 - 2060 MW
o MSL2 - 1560 MW
o MSL3 - 1060 MW
The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:
From 1130 hrs to 1430 hrs 16/02/2025. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1838 MW at 1330 hrs.
Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb .
AEMO Operations
NEM Local Temperature Alerts for SA, VIC from 10 Feb 2025 to 14 Feb 2025
AEMO's weather service provider has issued forecast temperatures equal to or greater than the NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels for listed weather stations below.
SA
Adelaide West Terrace (39+ Deg C): 11th Feb, 12th Feb
Clare High School (39+ Deg C): 12th Feb
Mt Gambier Ap (39+ Deg C): 12th Feb
Port Augusta Ap (39+ Deg C): 11th Feb, 12th Feb
VIC
Mildura Ap (39+ Deg C): 12th Feb
The NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels are:
Launceston Ti Tree Bend: 33 Deg C, Dalby Airport: 37 Deg C, for all other selected weather stations: 39 Deg C.
AEMO requests Market Participants to:
1. review the weather forecast in the local area where their generating units / MNSP converter stations are located and,
2. if required, update the available capacity in their dispatch offers or availability submissions consistent with the forecast temperatures.
Further information is available at:
https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/nem-forecasting-and-planning/forecasting-and-reliability/projected-assessment-of-system-adequacy/nem-local-temperature-alerts
AEMO Operations Planning
NEM Local Temperature Alerts for SA, VIC from 07 Feb 2025 to 11 Feb 2025
AEMO's weather service provider has issued forecast temperatures equal to or greater than the NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels for listed weather stations below.
SA
Adelaide West Terrace (39+ Deg C): 11th Feb
Clare High School (39+ Deg C): 11th Feb
Mt Gambier Ap (39+ Deg C): 11th Feb
Port Augusta Ap (39+ Deg C): 10th Feb, 11th Feb
VIC
Mildura Ap (39+ Deg C): 7th Feb
The NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels are:
Launceston Ti Tree Bend: 33 Deg C, Dalby Airport: 37 Deg C, for all other selected weather stations: 39 Deg C.
AEMO requests Market Participants to:
1. review the weather forecast in the local area where their generating units / MNSP converter stations are located and,
2. if required, update the available capacity in their dispatch offers or availability submissions consistent with the forecast temperatures.
Further information is available at:
https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/nem-forecasting-and-planning/forecasting-and-reliability/projected-assessment-of-system-adequacy/nem-local-temperature-alerts
AEMO Operations Planning
STPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124235 is cancelled at 1200 hrs 06/02/2025.
No LOR2 condition is currently forecast in the STPASA period.
AEMO Operations
NEM Local Temperature Alerts for SA, VIC from 06 Feb 2025 to 10 Feb 2025
AEMO's weather service provider has issued forecast temperatures equal to or greater than the NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels for listed weather stations below.
SA
Port Augusta Ap (39+ Deg C): 6th Feb, 10th Feb
VIC
Mildura Ap (39+ Deg C): 6th Feb, 7th Feb
The NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels are:
Launceston Ti Tree Bend: 33 Deg C, Dalby Airport: 37 Deg C, for all other selected weather stations: 39 Deg C.
AEMO requests Market Participants to:
1. review the weather forecast in the local area where their generating units / MNSP converter stations are located and,
2. if required, update the available capacity in their dispatch offers or availability submissions consistent with the forecast temperatures.
Further information is available at:
https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/nem-forecasting-and-planning/forecasting-and-reliability/projected-assessment-of-system-adequacy/nem-local-temperature-alerts
AEMO Operations Planning
STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124230 has been updated at 1000 hrs 06/02/2025 to the following:
From 1600 hrs to 1930 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1092 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 574 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 06/02/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124224 is cancelled at 0840 hrs 06/02/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124221 has been updated at 0424 hrs 06/02/2025 to the following:
From 1500 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1900 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 907 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 685 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 06/02/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 06/02/2025 to 1930 hrs 06/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 926 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 692 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations