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Forecast Minimum System Load MSL2 condition in the VIC region on 10/11/2024
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 10/11/2024.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
- MSL1 = 1760 MW
- MSL2 = 1260 MW
- MSL3 = 760 MW
The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL2 threshold for the following period:
From 1230 hrs 10/11/2024 to 1330 hrs 10/11/2024. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1236 MW at 1300 hrs.
Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO Operations
Cancellation - MSL1- VIC Region 03/11/2024.
Cancellation - MSL1- VIC Region at 1330 hrs 03/11/2024.
Refer to Market Notice 119760 for MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV line and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV line in VIC1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: VIC1
Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV
Cancellation time: 03/11/2024 11:19
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 119819
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Norwood - Scottsdale 1 110kV line and Norwood-Derby-Scottsdale 110kV line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Norwood - Scottsdale 1 110kV and Norwood-Derby-Scottsdale 110kV
Cancellation time: 03/11/2024 08:29
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 119816
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV line and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV line in VIC1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: VIC1
Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV
Duration: 03/11/2024 08:14 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of the reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Rowville - Yallourn No. 7 220 kV Line and the Rowville - Yallourn No. 8 220 kV Line in VIC due to lightning.
Cancellation of the reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to lightning.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: VIC
Lines: Rowville - Yallourn No. 7 220 kV Line and the Rowville - Yallourn No. 8 220 kV Line
Cancellation time: 03/11/2024 08:30 hrs
Constraint set(s) revoked: V-ROYP78_R_N-2
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 119817
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Rowville - Yallourn No. 7 220 kV Line and the Rowville - Yallourn No. 8 220 kV Line in VIC due to lightning.
Reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to lightning.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: VIC
Lines: Rowville - Yallourn No. 7 220 kV Line and the Rowville - Yallourn No. 8 220 kV Line
Duration: 03/11/2024 05:40 hrs until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked: V-ROYP78_R_N-2
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Norwood - Scottsdale 1 110kV line and Norwood-Derby-Scottsdale 110kV line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Norwood - Scottsdale 1 110kV and Norwood-Derby-Scottsdale 110kV
Duration: 03/11/2024 05:28 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Gordon - Chapel St No 1 220kV line and Gordon - Chapel St No 2 220kV line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Gordon - Chapel St No 1 220kV and Gordon - Chapel St No 2 220kV
Cancellation time: 03/11/2024 04:54
Constraint set(s) revoked:
F-T-CSGO Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
T-V-MNSP1
T-CSGO_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 119814
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations